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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
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@MikeBloomberg BY THE NUMBERS: 2,100 total staff 40 states & territories with staff 450+ staff hired in WI, PA, NC, AZ, FL, MI 125+ campaign offices open by the end of this week 1,000+ campaign events during nationwide weekend of action Feb 8-9Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
This. Just imagine what happened last night on a national scale in the general election:https://twitter.com/KenDilanianNBC/status/1224771737826615296 …
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
as predicted, not a single news outlet gave up their seat, despite the ban on their CNN colleagues. this is why this WH’s manipulation of their press corps works every time. https://twitter.com/HowardMortman/status/1224752540329414663?s=20 …
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Something that’s pretty clear: if Buttigieg prevails on final alignment/SDEs, he’ll owe his margin to the 2nd choice support of Biden/Klobuchar groups that failed to hit 15%.
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Another example of how the discourse becomes ripe for conspiracy theories: Powerful people connected to the cause of the problem are openly erasing their involvement and shutting down information, pursuing their own self interest in a way that looks like a coverup to others.https://twitter.com/lachlan/status/1224772321250070528 …
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
You can only control what you can control. You have agency as a democratic citizen and you should channel your energy towards concrete steps - volunteering, donating, organizing - that can make a tangible difference at the margins.
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Also, state delegate equivalents are dumb and unnecessary. But, it's the traditional way that the media declares winners, and just reading the tea leaves, it feels like that's roughly a toss-up whereas Bernie is the favorite in the other two counts.
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
It's noteworthy that they aren't listing delegates, and plausible they could lose on delegates with a ~4.5 point lead in the popular vote after realignment.https://twitter.com/samstein/status/1224762479294717953 …
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Like let's say Warren is mostly finishing in 3rd place, but often with enough votes to get delegates. Ordinarily, a candidate like that would eventually drop out. But if neither Bernie or Biden are pulling away, she could stay in hoping to be a compromise choice.
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
since outset the most underrated black voter scenario was not that some candidate was secretly 2008 Obama, but a Biden who is diminished but not collapsed helps vote fracture across candidates, breaking precedent + making it a delegate dash rather than a determinative voting bloc
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Well well well. The needle may yet have something to sayhttps://twitter.com/ShaneGoldmacher/status/1224746002948808704?s=20 …
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Ask yourself which is most likely: 1) Sanders wins IA/NH & comes out ahead on 3/3, less left-leaning voters "fall in line" 2) Biden rebounds strongly in SC & 3/3, more left-leaning voters "fall in line" 3) Neither wing caves, multi-way protracted fight all the way to Milwaukee
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Nevada Dems emerge from their burrow, see Iowa's experience with Shadow, and avoid six more weeks of chaos.https://twitter.com/nvdems/status/1224748733981609984 …
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This was pretty clear to me, but I can understand why the press read it the other way, and the campaign knew they were going to do thathttps://twitter.com/cancel_sam/status/1224697662689226754 …
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
I've worked professionally in software for 18 years and I can say with certainty that you should not use software for anything
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
After their "virtual tie" here in 2016, the Sanders camp was livid over a caucus process they felt unfairly benefited Clinton. Nothing like that today. Jeff Weaver told me he's "confident" that eventually IDP will deliver results "and they're going to be the correct results."
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je TweetHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
I don't think people are fully pricing in the meaning of an Iowa 4th place for Biden. Like, yes, he can get a lot of delegates from heavily African-American states in the South. But the 538 delegate model has Biden winning a LOT of Northern states. This calls that into question.
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
But you need to 1) play with the delegate rules/math so that states have more incentive to go later in the process and 2) make sure that you don't always have two super-white states going first.
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Christopher F. Nicholson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Illinois + Nevada + South Carolina + New Hampshire would be a decently representative group of states. Rotate the order every 4 years.
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