Chenxi "Justin" Cai

@chenxicai1

Senior Investment Analyst@Longhash, Data Scientist/Economist/Early-stage Investor

Shanghai, CHina
Vrijeme pridruživanja: veljača 2017.

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  1. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    28. sij

    Interesting analysis that adds another metric to Bitcoin adoption.

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  2. 24. sij

    My latest article reveals 1 million btc stored at Coinbase, the rise of Huobi to #2, and more. Many thanks for our on-chain data partner !

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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    23. sij

    "Coinbase has by far the highest amount of Bitcoin of all crypto exchanges, and its holdings grew substantially over the past year . . . apparently unaffected by the up-and-downs in prices. It is set to exceed the 1,000,000 threshold very soon."

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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    20. sij

    longhash news: opinion: bitcoin’s liquid sidechain matters more than the lightning network in 2020

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    10. sij

    See 's Senior Investment Analyst Justin Cai's presentation "Leveraging On Chain Data Anlysis" at the Insights summit hosted by & ! Scan the QR code or sign up at to get first access to Insights!

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  6. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    11. sij

    1/ The Log Growth Model also known as power-law corridor has gained a lot of fame recently. Based on it, the bottom is in and we can reach a Bitcoin price as high as 90k this year? The perfect channel fit is too good to be true I thought. I was very surprised by what I found.

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    13. sij

    Conclusions from the "Predictions & Models" chart: 💥 95-99% of all predictions are incorrect 🚀 Under this premise BTC will have a new ATH in 2023/2024 as few expect it 🚀 For 2 years after ATHs all predictions are exaggerated 💥 For 2013 & 2017 most predictions were too low

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  8. 10. sij

    Spoke about on-chain data based research at the Insights conference

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    7. sij
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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    25. pro 2019.

    I’m not gonna quote tweet the hustle porn everyone is dunking on, but I will say this: I worked in the games industry for 11 years, and if you think startup hours are insane, you have no idea. I actively tell young people to avoid the game industry, with the one simple trick:

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    I have a new paper available on request showing that happiness is U-shaped in age minimizing at around age fifty in 132 countries - here it is for Europe from 1.2 million observations

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Two observations. 1. Happiness in life is U-shaped, declining until our early 50s and then coming back. 2. Happiness bounces back fast in our 60s—faster than it declines in any other decade.

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    16. pro 2019.
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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. pro 2019.

    For the sake of economic equality, it's our duty as Gen-Xers and Millennials to take wealth from the Boomers. Gratitude to Peter Schiff, he's such an ally. 🤣

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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    8. pro 2019.

    Step 1: borrow x million of Step 2: start an ICO Step 3: move your borrowed ETH into your crowdsale contract Step 4: boom, "funding secured" Step 5: plebs fomo on secondary mkt b/c big money bought in

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  16. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    7. pro 2019.

    1/ Weekly on–chain market observations: The bottom is close – and once it happens, the reversal will be strong. MVRV is consolidating towards 1, which historically has indicated the bottom of market cycles. Patience is key.

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  17. 4. pro 2019.

    My latest research on Hong Kong protest and crypto adoption there

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  18. proslijedio/la je Tweet
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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Lessons from life event and life satisfaction plots. 1. Happiness is mostly homeostatic. It’s hard for single events to permanently affect life satisfaction. 2. Humans are, overall, surprisingly resilient. 3. But we’re uniquely unresilient to long unemployment.

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  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    28. stu 2019.

    Using 's model, 's data, and 's codebase, I made a graph of the difference between the stock-to-flow model price and the actual price. Seen below is using the 14-day moving average for the actual price. Thoughts below ⬇️

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