For additional context, San Francisco is nowhere close to being as open as it was in 2019 and it's absurd to discount it: https://sf.gov/step-by-step/reopening-san-francisco …
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Replying to @charles_140 @chesaboudin
I think you misunderstood me, YOU must establish a causal link between San Francisco's(short lived) stay at home order and the overall reduction in violent crime for 2020. You've yet to do that.
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Replying to @OneTrueShaun @chesaboudin
It's not about the stay-at-home mandate, it's about the change in behavior because of the pandemic. It's a fact that people are staying at home more even though things have slowly started opening up. Here's a New York Times article:https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/26/us/coronavirus-crime.html …
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"With tens of millions of Americans off the streets, would-be victims and opportunities for crimes have vanished, causing a drop in the number of perpetrators committing infractions."
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Replying to @charles_140 @chesaboudin
This article is from....drumroll...May, SF began to reopen after May.
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Replying to @OneTrueShaun @chesaboudin
It’s a fact that people have left SF and that people are staying indoors more now than they would’ve this time last year because of COVID. Just like the article stated, less people out and about = less opportunity for crime to be committed. It is pointless to argue otherwise.
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Replying to @charles_140 @chesaboudin
Shelter in place was reduced in May and continued to reduce until Nov. COVID impact on crime post-may is not conclusive.
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Replying to @OneTrueShaun @chesaboudin
More the reason to only look at Q1 data then since that data is independent of COVID as a factor.
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Replying to @charles_140 @chesaboudin
Also, assuming it's not eradicated, what year would COVID no longer be a factor in crime? Could Boudin celebrate a reduction in crime in 2021? 2022? 2047?
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Replying to @OneTrueShaun @chesaboudin
It would be less of a factor once SF is reopened. SF hasn’t reopened at the same levels as other cities have. Even though the SIP mandate lifted in May, SF has been slower to reopen and businesses in SF are still very much closed down. Again, less opportunity = less crime.
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Your account says you’re from Dallas, TX, so I’m not sure you have an accurate sense of what life in SF is like right now. Here’s a recent article with some details:https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-10-25/san-francisco-slow-coronavirus-reopening …
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