one in a million means 300 in the United States
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hypothesis: untrained human intuition cannot estimate the frequency distribution of human preferences in a group larger than the Dunbar number
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the number of people who think it's more likely than not that reptilians run the US government? more than ten times that numberhttps://twitter.com/masterobscurity/status/991805278667640837 …
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people literally have no comprehension of probability, how large numbers work, or that the world is more complicated than they can imagine imagining
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one of the funnier consequences of this is that people think Mensa is some sort of elite conspiracy of eggheads... Mensa US has about 50K members, their entry requirement is top 2%, that means 3 million eligible and more than twice their whole membership just in Chicago
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A weird thing about this is that a reasonable conclusion would be 'pay less attention to outliers'.
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