one in a million means 300 in the United States
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hypothesis: untrained human intuition cannot estimate the frequency distribution of human preferences in a group larger than the Dunbar number
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the number of people who think it's more likely than not that reptilians run the US government? more than ten times that numberhttps://twitter.com/masterobscurity/status/991805278667640837 …
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I'm pretty sure I wanted to be a dentist. 'What did you want to be at age 9' is kind of a bullshit metric to gauge your life by.
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by 16 i definitely wanted to be a wizard so somewhere along the way people get on track
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Never really gave up on trying to become Gandalf
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all you need is some weed and a sick-ass horse, you can do it
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i feel like i get closer every day still need the sword tho
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people literally have no comprehension of probability, how large numbers work, or that the world is more complicated than they can imagine imagining
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one of the funnier consequences of this is that people think Mensa is some sort of elite conspiracy of eggheads... Mensa US has about 50K members, their entry requirement is top 2%, that means 3 million eligible and more than twice their whole membership just in Chicago
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OH IT'S SOME ELITIST EXCLUSIONARY THING no, the population of a small city could join if it was limited to people who could commute to the Loop
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I don't mean to pick on Mensa I just think they make an excellent example of how people are so unaware of how large the population of the US is that they don't understand how many statistically rare things go on in absolute terms
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Nine year old kids still want to be firefighters, soldiers, and occasionally fire trucks In what fucked up world are the career aspirations of a creature who just barely grew their theory of mind an argument against adult autonomy
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A weird thing about this is that a reasonable conclusion would be 'pay less attention to outliers'.
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I can't help imagining some Reason writer asking his regular pump if she reeaaallly actually likes her job, and said pump giving a totally for sure genuine and flattering answer. I don't deny there's girls who enjoy it, but... I laughed pretty hard when I saw the article header.
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Prostitute Georg, who lives in a cave and turns over 10,000 tricks each day, is an outlier adn should not have been counted
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