Agile be like, "first, solve the halting problem"
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How do you feel about writing specs?
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OK, but you can get within about 4x of the right time by breaking the task down into pieces no larger than about a day's work, and residuating all the questions you'd have to answer in order to have the specific a plan, and going and answer all of those.
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and - and this is the important part - never, ever show those estimates to anyone who will use them against you. Also, actually good planning is *painful*, it's like eating glass to admit all the uncertainty now, and prioritize it instead of putting that off until "it works".
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pls stop reinforcing my biases and weaknesses thx
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