biggest grift in computing cryptocurrency can't beat it because cryptocurrency isn't *just* a grifthttps://twitter.com/techreview/status/1152828533460393985 …
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negative predictions about technological development suck because on any reasonable timescale most of your bet is on whether the prediction market will still be operating
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at the moment I also suspect the prediction market pool is not significantly bigger than the personal bets Aaronson has made so I guess you could try convincing him to bet with you
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