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causalinf's profile
scott cunningham
scott cunningham
scott cunningham
@causalinf

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scott cunningham

@causalinf

Economist studying crime, mental health and sex. Author of “Causal Inference: The Mixtape” http://scunning.com/cunningham_mixtape.pdf …

Waco, Texas
scunning.com
Joined October 2011

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    1. scott cunningham‏ @causalinf May 2

      The imbalance in the sex ratio can, when caused by high rates of incarceration, can shift the bargaining power away from women and lead to higher risky sexual behavior in equilibrium. See Johnson and Raphael. https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/597102 …

      1 reply 3 retweets 16 likes
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    2. scott cunningham‏ @causalinf May 2

      So I guess I'm primed by this research to already see loneliness as having major social costs. And if you want to call this "sex inequality", fine. You can call it lots of different things. But the reality is that some people are unintentionally alone in this life

      1 reply 3 retweets 15 likes
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    3. scott cunningham‏ @causalinf May 2

      and that's hard. And sometimes, there's spill overs to other people. Now, that also is very complicated, because I don't know what to think of a person whose loneliness interacts with hate in their heart and a vicious community of toxic males reinforcing jealousy.

      1 reply 1 retweet 9 likes
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    4. scott cunningham‏ @causalinf May 2

      As others have said, the sex ratios are so imbalanced in African-American communities that many women simply cannot mathematically find a monogamous partner, and depending on how the matching markets function, inter-racial matches may not occur given they're two sided.

      1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
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    5. scott cunningham‏ @causalinf May 2

      Yet these women aren't going on murderous rampages. So I have to think that part of the problem is something to do with these vicious, toxic communities of lonely men. But that said, I do suppose that even there I am defensive of @robinhanson because my own research w/ Manisha

      2 replies 1 retweet 17 likes
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    6. scott cunningham‏ @causalinf May 2

      finds evidence that access to commercial sex markets reduces sexual violence against women. And in doing that research, we heard stories from sex workers who claimed that some of the men they saw during RI's experiment were probably dangerous men.https://academic.oup.com/restud/advance-article-abstract/doi/10.1093/restud/rdx065/4756165?redirectedFrom=fulltext …

      2 replies 3 retweets 19 likes
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    7. scott cunningham‏ @causalinf May 2

      Then there's my study with DeAngelo and @jftripp finding that Craigslist's erotic services reduced female homicides. Why is it happening? Maybe it's just mechanical - as you move people indoors, you just remove the opportunity for violence. But the numbers seem too large

      2 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
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    8. Leah Boustan‏ @leah_boustan May 2
      Replying to @causalinf @jftripp

      My question about Robin’s ideas is this: why would we ever need to redistribute sex if we can just redistribute income and there is a market already for sex (@causalinf - curious to hear your thoughts bc you have worked on this market).

      3 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    9. scott cunningham‏ @causalinf May 2
      Replying to @leah_boustan @jftripp

      What I would like to better understand is whether search frictions in the commercial sex markets contribute to these men being involuntary celibates. At least in parts of Canada, if not all of it, my understanding is that buying is illegal, so it's possible that is relevant here

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Leah Boustan‏ @leah_boustan May 2
      Replying to @causalinf @jftripp

      My sense is that, for this sub-community, buying sex is considered a defeat because what they are really complaining about is not lack of sex but lack of social status that comes from having a girlfriend or wife

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      scott cunningham‏ @causalinf May 2
      Replying to @leah_boustan @jftripp

      I wonder if lonely men go into these incel communities and come out radicalized, or if they were like that before. To be so utterly alone in life and then on top of that to have a peer group constantly telling you that women and feminism are to blame is probably contagious.

      10:33 AM - 2 May 2018
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. (((Dan Sacks)))‏ @sacksdaniel May 2
          Replying to @causalinf @leah_boustan @jftripp

          Why are "utterly alone" and "involuntarily celibate" synonyms?

          4 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. scott cunningham‏ @causalinf May 2
          Replying to @sacksdaniel @leah_boustan @jftripp

          Sorry, it doesn't require that, and I need to clarify my thoughts. Let's say marriage markets are balanced. Then why is someone an "incel"? Can't be because there's not enough people. Suggests it's bc of search costs, thin markets or likely attributes that handicap on the market.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. (((Dan Sacks)))‏ @sacksdaniel May 2
          Replying to @causalinf @leah_boustan @jftripp

          right, and those demand different responses: search costs and thin markets are problems we'd like to correct. a "handicap" is more complicated -- is it appearance? personality? something else?

          3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        5. scott cunningham‏ @causalinf May 2
          Replying to @sacksdaniel @leah_boustan @jftripp

          The handicap has to be really complicated, bc every time I try to write something, I think to myself that therapy could probably help that person. Thing is, if a person gets psyched out, they withdraw from the marriage market, which actually changes the allocations and thinness

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        6. End of conversation

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