LONDON, Aug 14 (Reuters) - The U.S. Treasury bond yield curve inverted on Wednesday for the first time since 2007, in a sign that investors are bracing for recession risks in the world's biggest economy.
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BAML: “For the ten [2/10] inversions back to 1956, the S&P 500 topped out within approximately three months of the inversion six times (1956, 1959, 1965, 1973, 1980, and 2000). The S&P 500 took 11 to 22 months to peak after the other four inversions (1967, 1978, 1989, and 2005)
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When they says “within approximately three months”, do they mean the next three months? Or does that also include the 3 months prior?
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