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Which method is better?
Top Down
or
Bottom Up? 🤔
Captain Jack Andrews
@capjack2000
Part of Unabated.com. However, my opinions are 100% my own. Nominated to be the Commissioner of Sports Betting by .
youtube.com/c/CaptainJackA…Joined August 2011
Captain Jack Andrews’s Tweets
Once we get to a week out, it's time to do the heavy lifting.
"There’s very little movement in lines in the second week of Super Bowl lead-up," says. "Plenty of time to use the Unabated Prop Simulator to price out alternate prop lines."
👉 bit.ly/3Y5Nf8Q
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Knowing how the public will bet opens up opportunities...
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With public money rolling in there are going to be opportunities where the moneyline and spread get out of sync, @capjack2000 says on the Unabated Podcast with @RufusPeabody and host @TVatWork.
apple.co/3HP6Kgs
spoti.fi/3DGesqF
bit.ly/40t95EZ
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Who doesn't ❤️ a FREE contest?!?
Pick props & win subscriptions and merchandise.
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Put your prop savvy to the test in our @RunYourPool_ Super Bowl Prop Pick'em!
The top propper scores 6 months of Unabated, and 2nd-5th land 1 month PLUS a stylish Unabated hat and T-shirt.
Pick 37 props before kickoff from MVP to first halftime song: tinyurl.com/2r3eksx3
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In the 5th at Gulfstream today...bet responsibly.
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Overnights is alrights. 👇
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Join me live on twitch as we preview 150 college basketball games using @unabatedsports odd's screen.
@betfredsportsbook @capwize
twitch.tv/cap_wize
twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1
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Hey . Good call on that 2015 edition but if you open it up you see a pretty nice view (before reno). Hard to believe it’s been 8 years.
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🙄Damn Jack, are you all props all the time?
These two weeks I am. Avoid these common prop pitfalls.👇
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While you're going through this mountain of props, whether it's an endless scroll on an app or 33-page photocopied booklet, @capjack2000 says you should avoid these common mistakes.
unabated.com/articles/the-b
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Why show up to when other sites opened props days ago?
explains why and also tips his hand on bets he made last night.
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What was @RufusPeabody looking at last night at @SuperBookNV? @TVatWork get his thoughts on the state of the prop scene a week and a half out from gameday.
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8 years ago today this magazine hit the newsstand and the winds that were in our faces were suddenly at our backs. Thanks again !
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Here's what the scene looked like last night at the prop drop. covered it well. There's even a & sighting.
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Prop reveal night at the @SuperBookNV is a gambler's who's who. And, oh yeah, there was some action, too.
@TVatWork was on the scene with @LVA_Tweet, @FezzikSports, @RufusPeabody and more.
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The world awaits the Prop Drop at the Superbook Las Vegas tonight. will be on the scene to bring you all the sights and sounds.
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Buckle up. @SuperBookNV posts prop lines tonight.
"A who’s who of famous sports bettors line up to take their crack at Superbook openers," @Capjack2000 says. "This also serves to hammer the prices in place for sportsbooks across ... the country."

bit.ly/3wSdV0Q
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Prop bettors got some new tools to play with at Unabated.com today. You can now create blended projections from numerous sources including your own uploads. 💪
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It's Super Bowl Season!
If this is your first Super Bowl with regulated betting, I wrote a timeline of what you can expect and when. For instance...
Link: unabated.com/articles/when-
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I bought some Yes.
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Super Bowl content season begins NOW!
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One down, one to go.
Once the clock strikes midnight on the Bengals-Chiefs the Super Bowl frenzy begins. @Capjack2000 has your full guide on when to bet which plays over the next two weeks.
bit.ly/3wBWzFu
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Dime lines and posted limits. Too bad this was almost 40 years ago. Artichoke Joe must have been European.
(👇Multiply by 2.7 to get inflation adjusted numbers)
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Scorigami props - on an exchange 🤓
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Be the bookie!
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Find the sharpest lines, then build yourself an edge. @rxgamble and @desertfoxv look at how to get the best of it on @ProphetExchange.
Check out the full video for more
bit.ly/3XXH7PC
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I will be contacting the various state spokespersons today and asking WHY consumer complaints are being ignored?
I shouldn't have to do this. Regulated gambling shouldn't require public shaming to operate correctly.😡
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This is ABYSMAL.
Resolving consumer complaints is a MAJOR pillar of legalized gambling.
If wants to prove that regulated gambling is better than offshore, they need to stress to states that CONSUMER CONFIDENCE is KEY!
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Update on the grading controversy. I encouraged all to take the matter to their local gaming regulator. Many did.
ONE person has had their complaint acknowledged by the regulator.
Patrons in NJ, PA, IL, IN & CO haven't even received a REPLY from Gaming.😡
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A good regulator will contact you within 48 hours to confirm they have received your complaint and it will get their due diligence.
You should expect a good regulator, I can't say you will receive one. The competency of regulators exists on a wide spectrum currently.
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Uber Eats Prop Projections - "we deliver the value!"
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Going to have to get some projections up on Uber Eats Guy in the prop sim...
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Rufus tips his hand on a decision that could drastically affect the sports betting ecosystem.😱
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New #GambleOn! @RufusPeabody joins us to talk @UnabatedSports, Buddhism, and (maybe) break Super Bowl news, plus @jeffedelstein & I cover NY iCasino/poker, books bungling Bengals-Chiefs lines, A.C. casino smoking, and Bengals & Locks — er, Bagels & Locks: cms.megaphone.fm/channel/BCU943
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Both NJ Exchanges have two-way markets up on the Farmers Insurance Open.
Current theoretical holds (pre-commission):
: 1.00%
: 0.53%
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1/ One more chance at the Super Bowl exacta. With eight combinations, can you find value in these plays that range from +450 to +750? We're going to find out. 🧵
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This is why you bet teasers later in the week in situations like this.
has been saying this on the Unabated Podcast as well.
It’s a key point to remember for teaser strategy.
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WHY UNCERTAINTY IS BAD FOR TEASERS:
All probabilities courtesy of @UnabatedSports alt line calculator
Prob(fair line of +1.5 covering +7.5) = 75.3%
Suppose there's a 50-50 chance of Mahomes being fine (fair line -4) or being ineffective or out (fair line +7 -116)
Then,
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My guy has been helping beginning bettors understand some of the key concepts of sports betting. 👍
Here's his latest:
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Circa Nevada has KC -1 -110
Circa Colorado has KC +2.5 -132
They're actually pretty much the same line.
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Signed up for today and already in love with the odd screen UI. I fail to understand why local books in Vegas invest so little resources in their mobile apps
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This is all setting up the publicity stunt of the Cowboys signing Gronk as their new kicker this week.
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Wow. That's why they don't play the games on paper I guess.
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Adam Chernoff explains it well here:
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Sportsbook accounts will fill bettors Twitter feeds with consensus reports this weekend.
Ticket Count.
Bet Percentages.
Sharp/Square Action.
RLM.
These tweets are sent to provoke bets. But, they can be incredibly misleading.
Here is a thread with a few examples why...
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And I'll say it again - betting splits are real.
Real meaningless.
They are an incomplete picture of action at a book that has no impact on the market.
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I'll say it again, for all the new people.
All the data I share is real.
I'm not trying to trick you.
Good luck with your bets (unless they conflict with mine
).
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