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  1. there will be considerably fewer technical failures with this approach, I can assure you

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    3. velj

    i have developed a serious case of post-modernism. my thesis is that the nsa isnt really all that bad.

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    3. velj

    me: [in a nostalgic voice] it was good when we were young everyone in the audience: whoa whoa whoa..whoa whoa..whoa whoa

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  5. Boring: carefully designing econometric studies to test the effects of various economic policies in the real world Roaring: using prediction markets to forecast the impact of economic policies and then randomly testing 1 out of 10 to keep betters honest and provide payouts

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  7. Iowa is really putting the state in state capacity

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    18. ožu 2015.

    you see this..? *taps computer monitor with finger* this is not just a bunch of mixed up numbers and digits. this is a kingdom of Minds..

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  9. 4. velj

    hear me out, it's the iowa caucus, but instead, all the candidates try to beat me in civ

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  10. 3. velj
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  11. 3. velj

    94% might've been a little high, but by and large win probability models are pretty useful. h/t

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  12. 3. velj

    Replies here are full of "Hi! it's me, I'm the guy who loves to call all forecasting broken after an unlikely event occurs!"

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  13. 3. velj

    Really glad to see that one of the major talking points in last week's 'Competitiveness in Critical Technologies' hearing was the importance of reforming our pathways for high-skill technical students to stay in the US. And from reps on both sides!

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    WE JUST WON THE SUPER BOWL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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    OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG OMG

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  16. 3. velj

    Gonna tell my kids this was the first Chiefs QB to win a Superbowl in 50 years... because he was!

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    2. velj

    Chiefs vs 49ers is basically vs NIMBYs and I know which side I'd rather see win.

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    2. velj

    54 years ago today, mild-mannered jim bowl was bitten by a radioactive spider

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    2. velj

    hope the chiefs win the super bowl. if your favorite team wins the super bowl you cease to experience personal hardship of any kind for the rest of your life. sign me up for that

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  20. 2. velj

    'Cause I ain't no Houellebecq girl

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