IF Dems win the Senate. I just finished ranking the top 10 most competitive races 6.5 weeks out from Election Day. Democrats have to have a near-perfect sweep of those to grab the majority for the first time since 2014. /2
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Of our 10 most competitive races, three are Republican-held, while Democrats need to defend nearly all of the other seven seats to net the two that would help them get a slim Senate majority. /3 (out of 4, I promise)
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Some crucial details are trending Democrats' way: Tennessee is competitive, while races to unseat Dems in Michigan, Ohio & Pennsylvania aren't really on the radar anymore. Also, maybe Texas? Anyway, those rankings will be out in a few minutes. I'll share them here.
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And here are the rankings. Joe Manchin in W Va. keeps getting more secure in his reelection, while Heidi Heitkamp in ND is the most vulnerable Senate Dem right now. She's a very close second to GOP Sen. Dean Heller in NV for most likely to lose.https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/09/21/most-competitive-senate-races-democrats-still-have-path/ …
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