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bswud's profile
Ben Southwood
Ben Southwood
Ben Southwood
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@bswud

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Ben SouthwoodVerified account

@bswud

Ex @ASI, now data @kpmguk. Care about meaning, food, music, econ & cities.

Islington
straightuplondon.com
Joined June 2012

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    Ben Southwood‏Verified account @bswud Nov 18

    A draft of my paper with @tylercowen on the rate of scientific progress is OUT. Comments much appreciated!https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2019/11/is-the-rate-of-scientific-progress-slowing-down.html …

    12:06 AM - 18 Nov 2019
    • 85 Retweets
    • 207 Likes
    • cinnabar John Rieth Big lizard Baxter Lee Rosaura  Brisuela Greg Caskey Anirudh Wodeyar Kipland Ronald Dynamite🦙 Nick Whitaker
    8 replies 85 retweets 207 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Will Flyte‏ @WFlyte Nov 18
        Replying to @bswud @tylercowen

        Cool graph from Cowen & Southwood on technology adoption rates:pic.twitter.com/mBRyYbzOOI

        1 reply 6 retweets 7 likes
      3. Will Flyte‏ @WFlyte Nov 18
        Replying to @WFlyte @bswud @tylercowen

        Rate of population growth:pic.twitter.com/NXvoA5LfcP

        1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
      4. 6 more replies
      1. The Worthless Professor‏ @WorthlessProf Nov 18
        Replying to @bswud @StuartJRitchie @tylercowen

        Maybe part of this is Technopoly's exhausting of capital from antedating approaches to life.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Hazem A. M. Awad,PhD‏ @hazem_awad Nov 18
        Replying to @bswud @tylercowen

        Fundamental flaw I see is trying to measure scientific progress as an economic activity (nearly all econ do this and it is a literal case of apples vs orgsnes) , thus the "per capita basis". This could lead to wild conclusions. The aggregate vs. individual insight is interesting

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Hazem A. M. Awad,PhD‏ @hazem_awad Nov 18
        Replying to @hazem_awad @bswud @tylercowen

        Another way I see it is that scientific progress is like venture capital and thus has power law dynamics. So only a few breakthroughs at any given time (or portfolio) but they more than "return the portfolio". This may explain aggregate argument you proposed. Ofc I may be wrong

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. 1 more reply
      1. Anecdotal‏ @anecdotal Nov 18
        Replying to @bswud @tylercowen

        interested in data on gains in the science of ads...

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Devin Watkins‏ @LibertyDevin Nov 18
        Replying to @bswud @bryan_caplan @tylercowen

        "The more important fundamental laws and facts of physical science have all been discovered, and these are now so firmly established that the possibility of their ever being supplanted in consequence of new discoveries is exceedingly remote." Albert Michelson (1903)

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. nice‏ @mutual_ayyde Nov 18
        Replying to @bswud @tylercowen

        @davidgraeber

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      2. Nick Walker‏ @nw3 Nov 18
        Replying to @bswud @tylercowen

        Many have observed falling IQs in the general population. Is there anyway to see if that is somehow related or correlated with the decline in scientific progress? Obviously our scientist population is concentrated in the right tail of intelligence, but just hypothesizing.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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