Does an obsession with a perfect betting record mean that you would refuse an EV+ bet that you would likely lose?
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Probably.
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Would you be willing to ‘double or nothing’ to 2032? And if not, why?
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No, since the UK voted to leave on January 31, 2020.
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You may be interested in this Reddit thread all about your betting record:https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/a4q3dy/is_bryan_caplans_successful_betting_record_good …
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Economist bets really need a scoring celebration of some sort. Maybe spike a copy of the wealth of nations in the quad.pic.twitter.com/QJ1QJdCaqQ
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I feel this is a *bit* dishonest; it's akin to saying the US didn't declare independence until they won their war with England and got the formalities settled, as opposed to 1776. The referendum passed in 2016; pretty sure history books will mark this as the date of "Brexit".
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Not trying to lower your wonderful achievement, but a perfect betting record is sub-optimal for ANY goal you might have doing this, besides the goal of having a perfect betting record.
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Well done!
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Who will be President on Jan 21, 2021?
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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