And then a paper based on a spread model: Fig 4 shows rate of spread in chinese cities in different scenarios, with the falling of the curve based on saturation (everyone having it), I think. https://www.thelancet.com/action/showPdf?pii=S0140-6736%2820%2930260-9 …
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also, I watching the recent netflix doc series on flus: https://www.netflix.com/title/81026143 . I dont know how to calibrate this, but found it informative on ongoing efforts to contain flu. Maybe these will be helpful to you as well. fyi.
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Great could you please share the link to this paper?
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