California has avoided more heatwave-driven rolling blackouts so far this week via energy conservation, demand response, backup power and batteries. Could this be a lesson in meeting long-term grid reliability challenges as clean energy grows in scale?https://bit.ly/3haRWJi
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In NY, given the CLCPA, we compute GHG emissions based on GWP-20 (20 year Global Warming Potential) and we include all up-stream production, transmission, storage and distribution emissions in addition to burner-tip emissions. Also, 1/
NY goal is 40% emissions reduction by 2030, 85% by 2050 and 0% from electricity by 2040. Thus, emissions reductions drive policy, not social cost of carbon. Given clean electricity in 2040, we can also assume significant latent-decarbonization from Beneficial Electrification. 2/
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You have to start by doing that calculation using marginal hourly GHGs of a kW. We can't just assume that by 2040 all hours are GHG free because of a goal... We have to sort how to get enough clean electrons to cover 6am in the winter... not easy!http://t.ly/6Fhx
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NY's goals are law. NYISO has forecasted demand and says we're okay until 2030. NY utilities must spend $450+ million on heat pumps before 2025 and more later. We will decapitalize gas and invest in wind and solar. We have 30 years of hard work ahead of us and we will succeed.
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