E3 just released their final report for the California Energy Commission evaluating 10 different deep GHG mitigation scenarios in California [pdf] http://j.mp/CAdecarb2018 Will post some analysis once I've read it :)
On page 32, they recognize that "electricity ... rates have not been designed with carbon savings, or fuel-switching from natural gas to electric end-uses in mind, and will likely require modifications to enable, or not discourage, building electrification."
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Good to see the rate re-design conversation moving on to the important stuff. Regarding ground-source, I'm not surprised they don't figure prominently given the temperate CA climate. Ground source seems more compelling for colder climates, though costs are still a challenge.
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Not only are ground source costs a challenge, but air source performance is catching up. Exciting to hear rate design and getting policy out of the way is coming in!
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