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blueshirt_omaha's profile
Blueshirt Advisers
Blueshirt Advisers
Blueshirt Advisers
@blueshirt_omaha

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Blueshirt Advisers

@blueshirt_omaha

Former Bridgewater minion. Die-hard Rangers (duh), Giants, Mets fan. @blueshirt_plus is now live - give us a follow!

Omaha, NE
Joined June 2018

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    Blueshirt Advisers‏ @blueshirt_omaha 12 Jun 2020

    I suspect the ramping second wave in COVID-19 cases will NOT cause a major drawdown. The reason: the economy isn't going to be shut down again. This time, they will err on the side of the economy rather than health risks to the vulnerable. Just my two cents at this time.

    7:30 PM - 12 Jun 2020
    • 7 Retweets
    • 60 Likes
    • GoingForBroke zaxxonkk shopper Les Whaaaat!? Sound Money Charles Conti Matt Bergman Len Oppenheim
    37 replies 7 retweets 60 likes
      1. Degenerate Pajama Trader‏ @TaleRisk 12 Jun 2020
        Replying to @blueshirt_omaha

        It would have to be really bad for shutdowns to happen; ie, Wuhan style overwhelmed hospitals.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. Dr. Chris Dark‏ @Darky999 12 Jun 2020
        Replying to @blueshirt_omaha

        I agree, short term. However, the silent majority will be thinking twice about going out and spending money, if they know infections in their local area are on the rise; even more so if hospitals are getting overrun. I doubt any more lockdowns too

        3 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
      3. Dr. Chris Dark‏ @Darky999 12 Jun 2020
        Replying to @Darky999

        And this means just a slower return to pre-COVID “perfect Econ” (which was not perfect but w/e) Silent majority don’t tweet, they just go about their lives. And it will be <100pc if pre-COVID spending if infections continue. Very hard to track this apart from slow recovery

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. JamesBond_007‏ @__007_007 12 Jun 2020
        Replying to @blueshirt_omaha

        And with most expecting a major drawdown, if and when a second wave strikes, it will of-course do the opposite. Or perhaps just stagnate, but major drawdown either way improbable.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Tommy WorldPower  💹‏ @TommyWorldPower 12 Jun 2020
        Replying to @blueshirt_omaha

        If the economy is not shut down at least in some states, hospitals are going to be 3x over capacity in a month. How is that going to affect sentiment? That will be top news every day till it’s solved.

        5 replies 3 retweets 8 likes
      3. Blueshirt Advisers‏ @blueshirt_omaha 12 Jun 2020
        Replying to @TommyWorldPower

        That's the real crisis as I see it.

        1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
      4. End of conversation
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      2. Blueshirt Advisers‏ @blueshirt_omaha 12 Jun 2020
        Replying to @HypocriteReader

        Yep. I think the panic comes after Labor Day.

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Sean is Macro 丰‏ @Seanismacro 12 Jun 2020
        Replying to @blueshirt_omaha

        Ok, maybe, but the drag on growth/future prospects is going to be significant. That isn't priced in yet.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Blueshirt Advisers‏ @blueshirt_omaha 12 Jun 2020
        Replying to @Seanismacro

        It will be the push/pull between earnings and P/E multiple. I suspect the latter will continue to edge out the former.

        0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
      4. End of conversation

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