The Science paper explicitly points out that the most effective policy is "moderately effective social distancing"pic.twitter.com/tswlyALAVa
Show this thread
Corona: Moderate social distancing is very smart But often overlooked: Too strict policies will actually lead to more overall critical illness and death Too strict sees little infection, and then huge 2nd wave when restrictions lifted late August https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/04/14/science.abb5793 …pic.twitter.com/JoPqEDShZc
-
-
-
Here is the same point from an idealized study on the Spanish Flu, designating the strict policy as "too effective" https://www.pnas.org/content/104/18/7588 …pic.twitter.com/eLUKVWntaT
Show this thread -
The only other alternative is to keep society locked down permanently or intermittently until 2022, which seems entirely unsustainable -both in that people will not accept such long lockdowns, and -that economic costs will escalate way beyond the acceptablepic.twitter.com/oyTkGEnCk5
Show this thread -
Sweden likely good example of moderate social distancing (70+ and sick self-isolate, little unnecessary travel, work from home if possible, some schools shut etc.) It keeps critical infections below capacity. But most people still live their lives, go to school, work, shop, eat
Show this thread -
Conclusion, moderate social distancing - has more deaths in short run, but much fewer in long run (Science article) - is sustainable, because 1) people can live locked down like Sweden but not like Italy in long run; 2) long-run lockdown costs lowerhttps://www.forbes.com/sites/bjornlomborg/2020/04/09/save-lives-and-avoid-a-catastrophic-recession/#14cab5966f92 …
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Seria bueno que lo revisaran
@HLGatellThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
We won't get rid of this virus by any measure unless zero people interact with zero people. Shelter in place was designed to keep the healthcare system from being overwhelmed at a given time, not to eliminate the infection.
-
No one is "getting rid" of this virus. Do you honestly think that's anyone's goal?
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
1. "Until a vaccine is developed" may not happen. 0 guarantee there will be a viable vaccine. 2. Immunity may NOT be long term, as other coronaviruses. Reinfection may be possible. Therefore, we have to learn to live with this virus indefinitely. Long term shut down is not okay.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.