What would the model achieve? Good models have explanatory and/or predictive power. If you take @nntaleb best definition of rationality as survival then would the model predict achievement outcomes? Who will survive societal blow-ups?
-
-
-
I like looking at it through an evolutionary lens - a good model gets replicated. Sometimes this contradicts explanatory +/ predictive power (but often they are aligned). In a complex chaotic world, those two are themselves necessary fictions & abstractions, w/ many variations.
Kraj razgovora
Novi razgovor -
-
-
From the perspective of nuclear engineering (I admit this is a pedestrian view of intel) the nuclear reaction and radioactivity is a series of RANDOM events. However, those of us who work with nuclear technology understand how crucial PREDICTABILITY is.
-
I like this because the same applies to human vision - the raw input has a degree of quantum randomness (photons & light receptors) but we can generate a model of the world from this randomness. But if you try to model the low level as a deterministic process it doesn’t work.
- Još 1 odgovor
Novi razgovor -
-
-
The wind (randomness) extinguishes a match but ignites the fire
#AntiFragileHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
-
-
-
This sounds very plausible to me after having read the books of
@nntaleb.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
-
-
-
In my personal experience it's definitely true, only thing is that one needs to risk being a social outcast to remain truly intelligent
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
-
-
-
Ask traders.
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
-
-
-
Sounds like a description of my fundamental approach to life (Serendipity)
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
-
-
-
agreed, listening to a music playlist in shuffle mode (random order) feels better most of the time!
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
-
Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
Twitter je možda preopterećen ili ima kratkotrajnih poteškoća u radu. Pokušajte ponovno ili potražite dodatne informacije u odjeljku Status Twittera.