How long before US dissolution?
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not "centrists" so much as the "center-left" or "center-right": lower-to-upper middle class, mostly owning their houses, mostly living outside both major metropolitan and rural areas they will throw their weight around if things actually got bad
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Yeah, I kind of buy that. Might take more political violence/economic trouble/coup attempt/ similar before we “level up”
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yes: once we see real, visible, visceral changes in quality of life throughout large portions of the population, then all this social justice stuff will sputter out and the REAL politics (i.e. zero-sum negotiations, fights for access to scarce resources) will start up again
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(to be fair, there's a bit of actual politics embedded in socjus activism: access to scarce jobs, university spots, etc. Sanders ran on a campaign on this: redistribution directly addresses material concerns. what gets weird is when large swathes fight HARD on behalf of others)
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>fight HARD on behalf of others I think this amounts to coalition-building/vote-buying. Makes me think of: https://www.unqualified-reservations.org/2007/05/castes-of-united-states/ …
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that's fair (although I prefer Fussell); first-past-the-post necessitates coalitions, so it makes sense that people would do this. but the fact remains that if large swathes of middle-class folks were mobilized, the coalition-building wouldn't be necessary
End of conversation
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