Compressed everything I learned about how life sciences work in the last year (and 100+ interviews) into 6000 words:https://guzey.com/how-life-sciences-actually-work/ …
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this is not what that paper shows - I think authors overstate their results a bit! Experts are not at all good at predicting which research will replicate on pic: out of 8 studies that had >80% prob of replication only 3 replicate!
@xoxo_meme_queen https://www.pnas.org/content/112/50/15343 …pic.twitter.com/rrK04xpNbK
What do you think of the idea that it’s partly a base rate fallacy effect ?https://academic.oup.com/bjps/advance-article-abstract/doi/10.1093/bjps/axy051/5071906 …
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super interesting, thank you!
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