Here's a retrospective of the BlueKeep forecast. Most important: What is factoring into the "in the wild" delay?https://medium.com/@magoo/revisiting-the-bluekeep-forecast-150cbbee3458 …
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This is just an observation made by working backwards from the CVEs show up most regularly in 1-day attacks. But anyway, since BlueKeep matches neither of these criteria, based on this model I wouldn't anticipate immediate and widespread 1-day activity.
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At some level it makes sense -- the set of people with the capability to "productize" a bug report (or binary patch) to a good exploit (in 2019) AND with the motivation to use it in a 1-day campaign is going to be pretty small.
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