Nobody seems to understand this. If you think you understand the "Monty Hall Problem", I promise you it is much more likely that you do not understand it. I'm talking to the Wikipedians and other people who consider themselves highly intelligent. You have all gotten it *wrong*.https://twitter.com/VickerySec/status/1391551430712913923 …
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i ran 50k games where you switch or dont switch. its 2/3 1/3 to oddly boost your chance of winning. This assumes random player choice, and random host choice between the available goats. https://jsbin.com/fupopak/edit?js,console …
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Here is how it reduces to 50/50 chance: if you randomly decide to pick one door or the other on choice 2. In this case, yes, your odds go back to 50/50 (not swapping, will always be the opposite of swapping), so to pick randomly here, its just a cointoss.
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