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baseballot's profile
Nathaniel Rakich
Nathaniel Rakich
Nathaniel Rakich
@baseballot

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Nathaniel Rakich

@baseballot

Sabermetric-minded politics writer, social-science-minded baseball writer. Elections @FiveThirtyEight.

Philadelphia via Boston
baseballot.blogspot.com
Joined December 2011

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    Nathaniel Rakich‏ @baseballot Jan 21

    Lots of selective amnesia about 2010 and 2014 in my replies. I'll be pretty surprised if Republicans don't take back the Senate and House in 2022.

    10:19 AM - 21 Jan 2021
    • 50 Retweets
    • 541 Likes
    • Tia H ❤️🤍💙 Nick Moores Raphael stacie Elliot Leonardo DiCapriSun zach LJF Productions 🕉Madana Bhat Khandige
    81 replies 50 retweets 541 likes
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. OKP‏ @OklahomaPerson Jan 21
        Replying to @D_aveed @baseballot

        Not going to happen, but okay.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Flame‏ @FlamePol Jan 21
        Replying to @baseballot

        What about 2002?

        2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. Michael Schettig‏ @MichaelSchettig Jan 21
        Replying to @FlamePol @baseballot

        I don't expect 9/11 to happen again so 2002 probably doesn't apply

        7 replies 0 retweets 22 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Michael Schettig‏ @MichaelSchettig Jan 21
        Replying to @baseballot

        Only way they don't get at least the House is if Trump follows through with the Patriot Party and splits the right wing vote.

        0 replies 0 retweets 16 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Jordan Lowrance‏ @JordanLowrance Jan 21
        Replying to @baseballot

        I think it’s pretty damn likely, but the combination of a probable rapid economic recovery and a decent senate map could have them hold

        2 replies 0 retweets 27 likes
      3. Jordan Lowrance‏ @JordanLowrance Jan 21
        Replying to @JordanLowrance @baseballot

        Though what ends up with HR 1 makes this interesting, creating a independent redistricting commission in every state could cause interesting stuff to happen in the house

        1 reply 0 retweets 15 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Ward‏ @EPankowski Jan 21
        Replying to @baseballot

        Thoughts on the Georgia runoffs? A month ago the conventional wisdom was that the Democrats don't have a shot. Maybe a sign we should reevaluate the conventional wisdom going forward?

        3 replies 1 retweet 30 likes
      3.  ☕ LM  ✌️‏ @shayne571 Jan 21
        Replying to @EPankowski @baseballot

        Exactly.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. jvs‏ @ParallaxFlip Jan 21
        Replying to @baseballot

        Agree, but I do think this is higher variance than the average midterm. There is potential for the GOP to be in real disarray, and for the Dems to look pretty good if they can get COVID under control.

        0 replies 1 retweet 7 likes
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