*Trump '20, Obama '12, McCain, and Bush '04 were experiencing their convention bounces at this point in the summer.
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Could you provide a link to 538's historical H2H time series?
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Source data can be found here: https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/data/raw/master/polls/pres_pollaverages_1968-2016.csv …
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Lmao convention bump of being -7.5%
Make sure to vote everyone. - End of conversation
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He can, but it's ridiculously unlikely.
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But we didn’t have a fake prez like tRump
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Can someone just get a magic 8 ball out please? My head is stating to hurt.pic.twitter.com/J91uohMddd
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It's not enough. Biden could be up +20 and it's still not enough. With the USPS instability, the assault on Absentee Ballots by the incumbent, the burning down of every electoral norm and safeguard, it's not enough. It won't be Election Day. It'll be the start of Election Month.
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The only way it will be enough is if it is a landslide and all Republicans are voted out. By keeping any of them in office, that party continues to be legitimate. And based on all of its actions over the last four years in particular, it should not be considered legitimate.
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