*Clinton '16, Kerry, Bush '00, Dole, Clinton '92, Dukakis, Reagan '80, and Carter '76 were experiencing their convention bounces at this point in the summer.
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The @FiveThirtyEight nat'l polling average with 84 days until E-Day:
2020: Biden+8.3
2016: Clinton+6.6
2012: Obama+0.5
2008: Obama+2.6
2004: Kerry+2.5
2000: Bush+10.0
1996: Clinton+11.3
1992: Clinton+20.1
1988: Dukakis+5.6
1984: Reagan+16.0
1980: Reagan+22.1
1976: Carter+26.6
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Almost time to throw the clinton and Dukakis scenario out
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It’s the opposite, you need to include them in your predictions to show how drastically polls can shift. That many people can change their minds in 2.5 months.
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Yesterday they included that bullshit GW poll in the avg.
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There were six states (and DC) he lost by 22.49 points or more in 2016: HI, CA, MD, MA, VT, and NY.https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_States_presidential_election … I'm going to be bold and say he'll probably lose them again in 2020!
(I will also boldly state he'll win NE-03 and WY.) - Mostrar respuestas
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The only thing Biden has going for him is he’s running against the most corrupt person ever to represent the republican party
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These numbers are as accurate as the count in Covid cases in America
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Wow. Bush '00 had a big surge and still couldn't pull off a decisive victory (or a victory) All these stats have shown me is that you can't really tell who will win until election day
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