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baseballot's profile
Nathaniel Rakich
Nathaniel Rakich
Nathaniel Rakich
@baseballot

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Nathaniel Rakich

@baseballot

Sabermetric-minded politics writer, social-science-minded baseball writer. Elections @FiveThirtyEight.

Philadelphia via Boston
baseballot.blogspot.com
Joined December 2011

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    Nathaniel Rakich‏ @baseballot 27 Feb 2020

    Nathaniel Rakich Retweeted Biden is the More Effective Evil

    You know what I don't get? Why the establishment would WANT to create the narrative that Biden is way ahead in SC. If Sanders is actually leading, it will be *so much* better for him if his win is seen as a big upset!https://twitter.com/trayNTP/status/1233140770741329921 …

    Nathaniel Rakich added,

    Biden is the More Effective Evil @trayNTP
    Replying to @baseballot
    It’s almost as if pollster propagandists are using samples that are 85% over the age of 40, or 60% over age 55, to specifically create this narrative. pic.twitter.com/6YJjTcScgl
    1:32 PM - 27 Feb 2020
    • 8 Retweets
    • 123 Likes
    • Austin Bigley Blueprint Brendan Cuti Nicholas Will Mussell MGoBacon Justin C Smith Same Old Train David
    6 replies 8 retweets 123 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. x‏ @PleaseTalkToMe1 27 Feb 2020
        Replying to @baseballot

        you did a logic. stop doing that.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Biden is the More Effective Evil‏ @trayNTP 27 Feb 2020
        Replying to @PleaseTalkToMe1 @baseballot

        Actually he ignored logic, which was easy for me to provide, and he also ignored the NUMBERS (facts) in my post. HTF can anyone with a brain legitimize a poll with a sample that’s 43% age 65 & up (Clemson) and 57% age 50 & up (Monmouth). Those polls are OBVIOUSLY skewed.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Gregaregalinski‏ @Gregaregalinski 27 Feb 2020
        Replying to @baseballot

        Don't give credence to conspiracy theory Twitter

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Biden is the More Effective Evil‏ @trayNTP 27 Feb 2020
        Replying to @Gregaregalinski @baseballot

        You chose to ignore the sample demos, which makes you a COINCIDENCE Theorist.pic.twitter.com/SjwLEi8uYp

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. K‏ @LAinsidernow 27 Feb 2020
        Replying to @baseballot

        Why are you retweeting and responding to a conspiracy nut on twitter? Giving them legitimatacy is irresponsible.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Biden is the More Effective Evil‏ @trayNTP 27 Feb 2020
        Replying to @baseballot

        Theoretically, they could hope to drive down enthusiasm for Sanders, and cause some of the “leans Sanders” to switch to Biden. They want a bandwagon effect for Biden. What is the objective of propaganda? It’s easy to speculate.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. tru-story‏ @Cozzy_was_Wrong 27 Feb 2020
        Replying to @baseballot

        tru-story Retweeted tru-story

        https://twitter.com/Cozzy_was_Wrong/status/1232737606212947968 … https://twitter.com/Cozzy_was_Wrong/status/1232746472862560258 … It could be because losing 4 contests into super Tuesday kills him regardless of expectations? It really doesn't matter how he loses if he loses, he needs the W and nothing short of it?

        tru-story added,

        tru-story @Cozzy_was_Wrong
        Replying to @MichaelMcneight @NateSilver538
        The Feb 29th SC futures settle pretty soon, so the long term weakness may not have time to pan out :) looking at the other averages i would guess of Biden's bounce could be from Biden>indecision>Biden shook moderate 'electability' voters who came back for lack of alternatives
        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Kenneth Dreesen‏ @Dreesenkl 28 Feb 2020
        Replying to @baseballot

        Swear to god, if Sanders wins I'll abandon the party he doesn't even belong to! Would be horrible. Accumulated moderate votes nearly double the progressive votes. America will not vote for a socialist, poll after poll shows it.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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