It takes a near-perfect alignment of the stars for a Republican to win in Virginia. Youngkin has an opportunity, & it's fine to start off with gauzy positive bio ads when your opponent is too well-known to be worth defining him negatively. But at some point, you gotta fight.
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As I've said from the start, the GOP's odds of taking over the Virginia House of Delegates in November, while not favored, are better than Youngkin's odds.
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14 days in the field
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Yes, but it is mid-August. He’s got time.
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Problem is he explicitly doesn’t want to talk about issues, because he knows he either risks losing swing voters or turning off his base.
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Old news if Biden +5 approval
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Yeah, Biden’s approvals 48/43 in a poll taken over a two week period before all this are not great. People aren’t all that tuned in as you can tell from the partisan baselines in all the races and no one being well known
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Of note this is yet another poll that failed to include progressive independent candidate Princess Blanding.
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VCU poll also seems to have been 9 days in the field. Polling in August is hard.
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