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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank Aug 20

    Dan McLaughlin Retweeted Jacob Rubashkin

    Good-not-great poll for McAuliffe. It is past time for Youngkin to actually start running on something besides being a fresh face. He can't capitalize on issues if he won't talk about them.https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1428729251323392009 …

    Dan McLaughlin added,

    Jacob RubashkinVerified account @JacobRubashkin
    Virginia poll from Roanoke College (first independent poll of the race, though with a longer than ideal field time): Gov McAuliffe (D) 46 Youngkin (R) 38 Lt. Gov. Ayala (D) 42 Sears (R) 36 AG Herring (D-inc.) 45 Miyares (R) 37 (8/3-17, 558 LVs, ±5.2%) https://theroanokestar.com/2021/08/20/roanoke-college-poll-mcauliffe-holds-lead-in-race-for-governor-economy-covid-most-important-issues/ …
    Show this thread
    8:08 AM - 20 Aug 2021
    • 12 Retweets
    • 48 Likes
    • Bassaces unkle_jak Paul Kempf The Rational MD Adrian Doria Steve Huchteman Kristin Muller ceb21 O Riordan
    16 replies 12 retweets 48 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank Aug 20

        It takes a near-perfect alignment of the stars for a Republican to win in Virginia. Youngkin has an opportunity, & it's fine to start off with gauzy positive bio ads when your opponent is too well-known to be worth defining him negatively. But at some point, you gotta fight.

        2 replies 4 retweets 22 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank Aug 20

        As I've said from the start, the GOP's odds of taking over the Virginia House of Delegates in November, while not favored, are better than Youngkin's odds.

        1 reply 2 retweets 8 likes
        Show this thread
      4. End of conversation
      1. Justin‏ @KeystoneObsrvr Aug 20
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        14 days in the field

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Henry Olsen‏ @henryolsenEPPC Aug 20
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        Yes, but it is mid-August. He’s got time.

        3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Brian Rosenwald‏ @brianros1 Aug 20
        Replying to @henryolsenEPPC @baseballcrank

        Problem is he explicitly doesn’t want to talk about issues, because he knows he either risks losing swing voters or turning off his base.

        0 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. CTIronman‏ @CTIronman Aug 20
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        Old news if Biden +5 approval

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Justin‏ @KeystoneObsrvr Aug 20
        Replying to @CTIronman @baseballcrank

        Yeah, Biden’s approvals 48/43 in a poll taken over a two week period before all this are not great. People aren’t all that tuned in as you can tell from the partisan baselines in all the races and no one being well known

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Izengabe‏ @Izengabe_ Aug 20
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        Of note this is yet another poll that failed to include progressive independent candidate Princess Blanding.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Chris Wilson‏Verified account @WilsonWPA Aug 20
        Replying to @baseballcrank @EWErickson

        Chris Wilson Retweeted Chris Wilson

        It’s a bad pollhttps://twitter.com/WilsonWPA/status/1428733998122082305 …

        Chris Wilson added,

        Chris WilsonVerified account @WilsonWPA
        This poll strains credulity and should not be taken seriously. A few of the problems: -Massive field time (14 days in the field!) -Didn't use the votet file -Dialed RDD landlines (plus a file of cellphones they bought from a consumer provider) 1/2 #VAGov https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1428729251323392009 …
        Show this thread
        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank Aug 20
        Replying to @WilsonWPA @EWErickson

        VCU poll also seems to have been 9 days in the field. Polling in August is hard.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Show replies

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