All true. I'm just saying that Carl's (rather modest) point is not irrational: the level of panic suggests that people are worried about holding the Senate.
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I think I'm more pessimistic about the GOP's chances of regaining the Senate than most people, amusingly enough. Those WI and PA seats will be tough holds, and AZ and GA are going to be hard to take back given likely candidate quality.
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It’s 50-50! No matter what the polls say, who would bet on that on way or the other? You’d have to be crazy. It’s just tea leaves at this point. The “panic” is entirely rational. Again—a death could lose Dems control.
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Yeah, I think I agree with Rich here. When it's such a coinflip (at least externally, at least right now) people are naturally going to panic. No need to guess about internal polls or whatnot.
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Replying to @EsotericCD @yeselson and
I guess I’m curious to hear a McConnell rationale for blocking a SCOTUS pick if Rs win the Senate and Breyer retires in like February 2023.
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Replying to @CarlPaulus @daveweigel and
That's it. He won't hold it open, but he could and probably would reject certain potential nominees.
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Replying to @varadmehta @CarlPaulus and
The precedent in 2023 would not be Garland but Bork.
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Replying to @baseballcrank @CarlPaulus and
He's not giving Goodwin Liu a hearing.
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Biden already said only black women need apply for the first vacancy. Assuming Biden is still there.
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Replying to @baseballcrank @varadmehta and
Have no reason to think Harris could or would bail out on that pledge
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