It was a helpful analogy because the Tom Cotton of 1914 would have been 100% correct about Serbian government complicity in the assassination, but it took years for the truth to come out. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1398283920395882497 …
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Replying to @mattyglesias
Agreed on Serbia, but I'm more inclined to blame Russia than France. Franz Joseph repeated with Serbia the exact error he made with Piedmont-Sardinia in 1859, with more or less the same result.
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Replying to @baseballcrank @mattyglesias
Eh, seems pretty clear that elements of the German government (although oddly not the Kaiser) and the General Staff took a firm view that war in 1914 was far preferable to war in 1920 when the circumstances developed. The pace of Russian modernization had them spooked.
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Yes. And the French reached the same conclusion. They were worried that the Russians would get too powerful to need them as allies anymore.
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