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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank May 19

    Dan McLaughlin Retweeted David Byler

    True, but also true that polls almost 3 years out from the primaries are not historically a great predictor.https://twitter.com/databyler/status/1395091649525518337 …

    Dan McLaughlin added,

    David BylerVerified account @databyler
    if trump runs, a lot (or all) of these people don't. which means this sort of number may understate trump's strength e.g. people who like trump's VP, trump's son, the trump-friendly governor of florida, etc. might not be true NeverTrump https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1395075360010743814 …
    12:00 PM - 19 May 2021
    • 25 Likes
    • Abigail Prescott Paul Kempf Jeremy Golson Sean R O'Connor Jason Broander Fionnbharr Eric Hughes 🦅 Natone Negative Robert
    9 replies 0 retweets 25 likes
      1. E‏ @Ericb1980 May 19
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        I don’t believe one bit that DeSantis is polling that low. Not one bit.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler May 19
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        totally. "it's early, things can change" and "at this point, trump is obviously the dominant figure in the GOP" are both right imo

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Gil Reich‏ @GilR May 19
        Replying to @databyler @baseballcrank

        I remember how ridiculous I thought it was when people talked about Trump leading in the polls in June 2015. Good times.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Nick‏ @nthomp3312 May 19
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        Trump will be the nominee again barring health problems for the former president. For Republicans now, it’s all about whether enough states with Republican state legislatures can pass enough ‘voter integrity’ bills to tamp down Dem turnout to a point where Trump can actually win.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. John Stodder Jr.‏ @johnstodder May 19
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        Unless Trump dies or is in prison, he'll be the '24 GOP nominee. Nobody on this list will challenge him b/c they don't want to be killed. "Principled conservatives" will adjust their principles accordingly. Practice in the mirror: "It's a binary choice! It's chicken or fish!"

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Gus Chiggins‏ @GusChigginsOK May 19
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        Dan, you know how many cycles (w/poll data) had one term pre-presies in the running? Not many, methinks.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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