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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    1. This Tweet is unavailable.
    2. Benjy Sarlin‏Verified account @BenjySarlin May 11
      Replying to @mattyglesias

      This feels like it’s destined to be an opening anecdote in some Scout Mindset style big idea book

      0 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
    3. This Tweet is unavailable.
    4. Derek Thompson‏Verified account @DKThomp May 11
      Replying to @JHWeissmann @BenjySarlin @mattyglesias

      the most, most, most generous interpretation is that some people are just terrible guessers and have no stat-feel as a lifelong baseball fan who got into journalism by blogging CBO reports, I have no sympathy for this level of innumeracy. but maybe it's a thing?

      4 replies 0 retweets 15 likes
    5. Karl Smith‏Verified account @karlbykarlsmith May 11
      Replying to @DKThomp @JHWeissmann and

      Its hard to make that work though because home price compared to household income is a really salient and straightforward metric. It's implausible not to be able to distinguish between 4X & 40X.

      2 replies 0 retweets 19 likes
    6. Derek Thompson‏Verified account @DKThomp May 11
      Replying to @karlbykarlsmith @JHWeissmann and

      ya good point

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    7. James Surowiecki‏Verified account @JamesSurowiecki May 11
      Replying to @DKThomp @karlbykarlsmith and

      He was commissioner of housing preservation and development for NYC. He thought the average Manhattan rent was $4K (an overestimate). I just don't see any way he could have thought the median sale price in Brooklyn was $100K.

      3 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
    8. Derek Thompson‏Verified account @DKThomp May 11
      Replying to @JamesSurowiecki @karlbykarlsmith and

      ya. altho he guessed 4k after he was told that he embarrassingly under-estimated the avg brooklyn home value by 80+ %. might have motivated him to guess high.

      1 reply 0 retweets 17 likes
    9. Benjy Sarlin‏Verified account @BenjySarlin May 11
      Replying to @DKThomp @JamesSurowiecki and

      There also might just be a different coding of “Manhattan” vs “Brooklyn” here, where you inaccurately assume there’s some nonexistent sprawl of affordable housing in farther out neighborhoods you’re less familiar with

      2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
      Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank May 11
      Replying to @BenjySarlin @DKThomp and

      That's worse! It means you actually lack a lived feel for the city, as opposed to being bad at math.

      11:18 AM - 11 May 2021
      • 4 Likes
      • . Jack Mannion acceptableslice
      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        1. Benjy Sarlin‏Verified account @BenjySarlin May 11
          Replying to @baseballcrank @DKThomp and

          Yeah saying this is a source of error not a good thing

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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