Serious response: wasn't there actually less randomness pre-1920/pre-1900, when there were more balls in play & pitchers threw more innings, so there was a larger sample for each pitcher's season?https://twitter.com/VorosM/status/1388593930439065600 …
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Replying to @NathanWurtzel
I mean, pitchers then still had huge FIP/ERA splits, but more because it mattered a lot how good your team defense was.
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Replying to @baseballcrank @NathanWurtzel
I think one way it was less random for individual pitchers was that in a single season, the sheer number of balls in play was WAY higher than modern ball, thereby reducing some randomness via larger samples.
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Replying to @VorosM @NathanWurtzel
Yeah, that was my point - less luck as opposed to other factors.
1:55 PM - 1 May 2021
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