Interesting -- I guess the counter would be that Cunningham doing a little worse than Biden was not unusual compared to many other races (particularly in the House).https://twitter.com/ZacMcCrary/status/1375085942839652360 …
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I also think Tillis getting COVID and having been one of the few republicans who had at least been semi-responsible in talking about it/encouraging caution gained him some sympathy. That happening at the same time as the Cunningham scandal seemed to help tip the scales a lot
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Hard to tell as NC senate and congressional races have noticeably broken towards the Rs in the home stretch (narrow D leads become narrow R wins, tossups become decent R wins) in the last decade or so
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