1. There are really three factions: Only-Trump, Non-Trump, and Anti-Trump. The Anti-Trump faction, esp behind a socially liberal moderate such as Hogan, matters only if it will support a Non-Trump such as DeSantis. The real battle is against the Only-Trump faction.https://twitter.com/alexnazaryan/status/1365291408622510087 …
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Replying to @baseballcrank
Aren’t the first two factions just waiting to see if there is a Trump run in ‘24?
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Replying to @alexnazaryan
All three are. If Trump isn't in the race, harder to raise money for somebody like Hogan to run explicitly as Anti-Trump.
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Replying to @baseballcrank
Do you think any candidate or any faction is helped by Trump’s indecision re ‘24?
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Replying to @alexnazaryan
Trump. But if Trump doesn't run, freezing the field might work to the advantage of whoever is bold enough to jump in anyway - think of how Hamlet on the Hudson worked to Clinton's advantage in 92.
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Replying to @alexnazaryan
Nobody would cede an early state these days, not even to Haley or Sununu.
6:00 PM - 26 Feb 2021
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