Republicans turned to a governor after Watergate. Democrats, after the Clinton years, recovered the WH with a guy who was an obscure state senate backbencher until 2004. That's good news for DeSantis, Abbott, or Noem.
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It's way too soon to write anybody off. But the deep divisiveness of Trump within & outside of the party will mean that anybody who had a lot of engagement for or against Trump will be asked, first, to justify that in ways that will turn some people away off the bat.
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The thing for Bush in 2000 was that the party liked his dad personally, but mistrusted him politically; he was able to build his own political profile as a GOV, but also rallied social conservatives when the choice came to just him vs McCain.https://twitter.com/jeremycoleman/status/1360248612576395269 …
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Trump will do this to anybody who seems in danger of getting the 2024 nomination.https://twitter.com/BenjySarlin/status/1360223025245937673 …
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The GOP field now is going to ignore the big media. Feeding the trolls achieves nothing. Starving em might
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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The flipside is that any Republican outside that sphere lacks the necessary name recognition for a national race. The likes of DeSantis and Haley appear to be as well positioned as anyone, but three years is a long time in this environment!
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Only counterpoint is GWB. He was the guy in like 1997. He was the next gen after Dole looked ancient in 96. DeSantis is the right combo of fighter and executive that Trump never was.
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A lot of the media simply can't fathom that someone would cast a ballot for Trump or a Trump like figure. It's a huge ideological blind spot for them.
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