Consider Pennsylvania. In 2016, there were 6,166,938 votes cast in the presidential race, 6,051,856 in the Senate race (-115,082), 5,741,751 (-425,187) in House races. And this year, there was no PA Senate race. So a 6-figure number of POTUS-only ballots is unremarkable.
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Overvotes in presidential races, like ticket-splitting, is an extremely longstanding & well-known pattern in American elections. Anybody telling you this is new just hasn't looked at elections before 2020.
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It is not unusual to see people show up & only vote for a presidential candidate, for the same reasons why it is not unusual that many people who vote in presidential years do not show up during midterm elections. And with turnout through the roof in 2020, we should expect more.
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Now, if I was looking for fraudulent ballots, would I look harder at presidential overvote ballots? Sure. Easier to produce a ballot with just one vote on it. But overvoting alone is not proof of anything.
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Also not fraud, just voters judging two candidates differentlyhttps://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1325409687110639617 …
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Here is my chart from Dec. 2016, computed from the US Election Atlas county data; the final numbers were slightly different. In Georgia in 2016, 248,220 voters cast ballots in the presidential race but not the Senate race. That's 5.9% of all ballots.pic.twitter.com/SCU1LoUyPi
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Also a reason why you'd expect there to be more presidential overvotes in Pennsylvania in 2020 than in past elections. https://www.inquirer.com/news/pennsylvania-straight-party-voting-20191112.html …https://twitter.com/adambonin/status/1325520108178071552 …
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Detroit, you say? Voter fraud? Would not surprise me. But are the results from Wayne County, Michigan - which contains Detroit - unusual this year? Not at all. Trump was the first Republican this century to crack 30% of the vote there, Biden got about the same vote as in 2012.pic.twitter.com/EAfOB12M06
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Trump was, in fact, the first Republican to break 30% of the vote in Wayne County since George H.W. Bush got 39% in 1988. It's hard to see that as a suspiciously poor performance in a state Trump lost by nearly 150,000 votes.
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Thanks for doing this research. Suspected as much.
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