Trump is in deep trouble, but the NBC/WSJ poll by itself is not exactly conclusive proof that he's finished.pic.twitter.com/6KVa0LCJs3
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Cherry-picking one poll over an entire election cycle is not evidence its an unreliable poll. If you were litigating vs such an “expert” representation, you would laugh it out of Court and for good reason. Similarly, *you* are not an expert, so you should defer to those who are.
When you stop arguing, but lack the grace to tweet “fair point” (even when you’re most closely held priors are not at stake), I’ll just stipulate you are wrong on the merits and you should read @NateSilver538 methodology re rating pollsters.
Wait, you're evaluating a poll in September to results in November? That's not how polling works. Nate Silver said this poll taken right before the election was very accurate.
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