Fwiw, this assumes that Democrats get a large enough majority to end the filibuster. That’s probably not 51-52 senators. And even if they do, I think Court packing wouldn’t come until after a bad SCOTUS decision, presumably in June.
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Replying to @brianros1 @HotlineJosh and
I dunno ... suspect this is going to radicalize Dems the way Kavanaugh radicalized GOP.
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Replying to @asymmetricinfo @HotlineJosh and
Don’t get me wrong, I’m someone who opposed Court packing until the GOP pulled this ACB stuff. So it’s definitely possible. But still hard for me to envision getting all of their moderates, especially given that a majority will involve new moderates + Sinema + Manchin.
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Replying to @brianros1 @asymmetricinfo and
Yeah, I agree w Brian. It’s all power politics. Huge difference between 50 and 53 Senate seats. Why the supposed “marginal costs” aren’t so marginal...
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Replying to @HotlineJosh @brianros1 and
I thought they couldn't pass Obamacare when it was clearly electoral suicide ...
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Replying to @asymmetricinfo @HotlineJosh and
Slightly different situation. They had 60 then. They got 50. Last time they went nuclear, they lost what 2-3 Democrats? I’m not saying the vast majority won’t vote for it. But to get the entire caucus to vote for it, is a big ask.
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Replying to @brianros1 @HotlineJosh and
Like I say, maybe I'm wrong--I just feel like maybe if moderates don't care about court packing that much, and your base really, really does, you can get there.
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Replying to @asymmetricinfo @brianros1 and
And 2010 cured me of saying that Democrats wouldn't do something merely because it was obviously going to cost them their majority.
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Replying to @asymmetricinfo @brianros1 and
The reason the Democrats were fools to pass Obamacare in 2010 is that they could have kept at healthcare much more incrementally with a lot less political blowback. Whereas nothing in SCOTUS is incremental. It's taken 47 years to get to this point. It could take another 47.
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Replying to @baseballcrank @asymmetricinfo and
Flip side: it took Democrats a century to get the votes to do healthcare.
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But did it? Medicare, Medicaid, probably a dozen smaller steps since then. They even backed the GOP into doing Part D under unified R control. If they'd done standalone Medicaid expansion, more states would likely have gone along.
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