Should be called "The loose cannon debate" in history books moving forward.
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If Biden came out on stage naked and set himself on fire, he'd still win. What those on the right *STILL* don't understand..... a dead tree stump with a (D) next to it would be favored over Trump. This election is 100% a referendum on Trump.
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Do you remember in 2012 when everyone thought Paul Ryan was going to wipe the floor with Joe? Then he laughed at Paul Ryan the whole time and ended up coming out ahead? I get the feeling we are setting expectations so low that he can do it again.
End of conversation
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Statistically, they should go together -- if one party is more likely than not to beat expectations by a little, the other party should beat expectations by more if he does beat expectations.
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Probably true. But of both options, #1 is significantly more likely than the second. Anyhow, anything to build intrigue I guess.
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One thing that can be true. In seven days the rcp average will be unchanged.
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Or most likely, neither come out better off as a lot Americans have decided or tuned out. (Note a draw in debate season is good for Biden.)
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