Not necessarily shocking, however. Trump's 2016 PA win, moreso than his MI & especially WI wins, was driven by winning more voters than past Rs. In WI, he got fewer actual votes than Romney/Ryan. It's easier for Biden to find a path to rebuild D turnout.https://twitter.com/SeanTrende/status/1304095139284082694 …
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Replying to @baseballcrank
Trump didn't really overperform in Pennsylvania in 2016. Republican share of the Presidential vote in PA: 2000: 46.4% 2004: 48.4% 2008: 44.2% 2012: 46.7% 2016: 48.2% In 2016 Trump did almost as well as Bush did in 2004 when Bush lost the state.
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Replying to @joec522
By share of all eligible voters, he did.pic.twitter.com/jCM77gBWba
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Replying to @baseballcrank
Improving by Bush's 2004 number by 0.2% does not indicate Trump broadened the GOP coalition in 2016. His methods might have helped him with non college educated whites but they were offset with roughly equal losses with other voting groups.
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Agreed. He ran behind Toomey. But still, he did get more votes as a % of VEP in PA than Bush, Romney, or McCain, and there are only a handful of states where Trump can say that.
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