The optimist's case for Trump - give him the states he leads & the states currently at less than +4 Biden (NC, FL, OH, MI), move the states at less than +5 Biden to tossups. You still have work to get from there to 270.pic.twitter.com/70zRbGgkxa
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He’s also not winning NE-02
It’s a Democratic state now, Clark County is 70% of the aggregate vote. Latino vote, unlike in some states, driven by a powerful union which makes it more Democratic than most. He will lose by 4-6%, more than vs. Clinton.
I agree he likely won't win Nevada, but the direction of polling error in 2016 shouldn't matter much this time.
True but Dems dont have the culinary unions in NV fully operational, that help turn out the vote.
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