Dan McLaughlin Retweeted Nate Silver
Thread. The good news is that yes, there is a market for pollsters who learn from the mistakes of previous poll failures. The bad news is that these pollsters are sometimes fighting the last war. https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/election-polling-where-republicans-over-and-underperformed-in-2018/ …https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1301891631235424256 …
Dan McLaughlin added,
Nate SilverVerified account @NateSilver538
If Clinton had won in 16, you wouldn't have as many Trafalgars publishing Trump +2 in every swing state. Pollsters wouldn't be doing as much education-weighting. Etc. Biden would likely have a larger lead *in the averages* even if his true standing in the electorate was the same.
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7:37 AM - 4 Sep 2020
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