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Replying to @yeselson
LOL, nobody thinks Trump is anything but a longshot to win in November. Yet he is still focused on attacking the legitimacy of a longshot outcome.
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Replying to @baseballcrank
That’s not true at all. And analysts like
@NateSilver538 and@ForecasterEnten have noted that Trump won’t win at minus 8- 10, but if he cuts that in half and creates obstacles to vote by mail while his supporters mostly vote in person, yes he can win the EC.1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Possible? Yes. I keep warning people not to rule it out. But what you describe is a textbook longshot.
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But the polling experts tell us it’s still too far out—especially given the contingencies this year—to believe Trump can’t get to 4-5% behind. And think of what you’re saying—that Trump losing the popular vote by that margin is just the way life is.
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He's not winning down 5. He needs to get below 4. But yes, like most incumbents, his path to victory involves mostly repeating what he did last time.
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Nope. The rules are the rules. I'd point it out, of course, because how you win matters, but a win is a win.
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