My current take is that the polling dynamic looks like 1996, with Trump as Dole, the GOP probably not down quite as far as it looks in national polls, but the party in need of firing up the base down the stretch to preserve the Senate & prevent unified Democratic government.https://twitter.com/SeanTrende/status/1287796204466774016 …
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Republicans do a lot of whispering when they should be raising their voices.
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There’s a huge difference between thinking about what a post-Trump GOP looks like, and starting to say, “we need a Republican Senate to check a President Biden”. That would make this even closer to ‘96 and be a meaningful rhetorical difference.
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Even if Trump loses, there’s nothing that prevents him from going on FNC multiple times every week, becoming an even more prolific tweeter, and then running in 2024 for a rematch.
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There was nothing preventing Roy Moore from running in 2020, and yet...
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