The dirty secret of the Northeast & Continental Europe is that the likeliest explanation for people eventually taking the lockdowns seriously was not their political leaders or ideological priors but seeing their neighbors die in heaps around them.
The atmosphere here in NY was just then descending into paranoia. I retrieved my daughter on the 14th when her college in MA closed, & my last day in the office in Manhattan was the 16th.
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I also felt that paranoia and found it terrifying. I thought I might have to drive to VA to pick up my daughter from college. And of course Italy's death count was rising. Everyone I know took COVID seriously well before they knew anyone who was affected.
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