And why is that? Because the entire crop of "empathetic" and "experienced" commentators.... have turned out to be marks who got absolutely taken for all they were worth.
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China has not been successfully integrated into the global order. Regardless of your beliefs about China's intentions, this statement is true. Hopes that accommodation would reduce tensions were absolutely wrong.
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Decades of attempts to accommodate China's rise through dialogue and engagement have not prevented Hong Kong's 50 year handover being shorted by more than 2 decades.
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Decades of experienced China-hands telling policymakers what their contacts in the CCP were thinking somehow led to Western governments being caught blindisded by the genocide of the Uyghurs until there were already a million in the camps.
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It took non-governmental open-source intelligence and think-tank types to turn up these stories.
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After decades of economic integration China's internal system is still essentially closed to competition from most foreign companies on anything like an equal footing, rule of law is still basically nonexistent, and they still routinely flout their treaty commitments.
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(which is why China has one of the worst win-loss ratios of any big country in the WTO: because they sign the agreements then violate them at will)
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All the hopes that China's rise could be "managed" that there wouldn't need to be direct confrontation that openness would lead to a partnership for mutual security in the Pacific were basically the vanity of experts who were duped by the CCP.
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This is all basically just fact statements. Engagement and dialogue *failed*. The rise of new China watchers wasn't because of some mysterious rise in demand or arbitrary increase in jingoism.
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The rise in new China watchers is because the old China watchers completely failed to do their job and so the wider political millieu is looking for experts who might be less completely wrong about everything.
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