If you're gonna go all the way out on a limb (and "Trump has a 91% chance of winning as of now" is that), may as well go all the way. I'm not ready to say this race is over, but basing a whole model on primaries is deeply questionable.https://twitter.com/cayankee/status/1281329206945820674 …
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It's odd data bc Obama/Bush et al didn't care about driving up their own primary
#s and Trump did. Probably a smart move but as something to model?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Also primary in deep blue states, I would expect someone like Weld to get more votes.
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Especially when you're running essentially unopposed and corrupt state parties are cancelling their primaries!
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I often forget we're smack in the middle of a Presidential election. This cycle more than any other seems impossible to predict given the bizarre state of the world
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