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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    1. Ben Shapiro‏Verified account @benshapiro 14 Apr 2020

      There is a more-than-decent shot that everybody ends up pursuing the Swedish option, and the only question is whether it was worth locking down until spring/summer to give health facilities and scientists time, and the virus a chance to die in warmer weather.

      254 replies 301 retweets 3,388 likes
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    2. Jane Coaston‏Verified account @janecoaston 14 Apr 2020
      Replying to @benshapiro

      Do we know yet that the virus dies in warmer weather?

      22 replies 0 retweets 116 likes
    3. Ben Shapiro‏Verified account @benshapiro 14 Apr 2020
      Replying to @janecoaston @cjane87

      We don't. There are some indicators, but unclear how far the effect goes. So that may not even have been worth it. If there's a second spike because no warm-weather effect, then we will have gained merely the time not to overwhelm the system.

      54 replies 2 retweets 291 likes
    4. Jane Coaston‏Verified account @janecoaston 14 Apr 2020
      Replying to @benshapiro

      Interesting.

      1 reply 0 retweets 13 likes
    5. Ben Shapiro‏Verified account @benshapiro 14 Apr 2020
      Replying to @janecoaston @cjane87

      Here's a good WSJ article on this:https://www.wsj.com/articles/will-warmer-temperatures-bring-a-coronavirus-reprieve-its-complicated-11586792719?mod=hp_lead_pos8 …

      4 replies 11 retweets 64 likes
    6. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 14 Apr 2020
      Replying to @benshapiro @cjane87

      And that's just a selective sample of the global data. The domestic pattern & the general picture in the Southern Hemisphere so far is suggestive that temperature matters.

      2 replies 3 retweets 19 likes
    7. Jane Coaston‏Verified account @janecoaston 14 Apr 2020
      Replying to @baseballcrank @benshapiro

      Welllll that depends on whether or not testing levels are high enough to get a good picture.

      3 replies 0 retweets 18 likes
    8. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 14 Apr 2020
      Replying to @janecoaston @cjane87 @benshapiro

      The signs of an Italy-level outbreak do not require an extensive testing regime.

      6 replies 9 retweets 74 likes
    9. Some Guy‏ @WhatIsPrivate1 14 Apr 2020
      Replying to @baseballcrank @cjane87 @benshapiro

      "In coastal Ecuador, patients are dying at home after being turned away from overwhelmed hospitals, and the country’s president has said official statistics undercount the actual caseload." - From the WSJ article. If temperature significantly impacted C19, Ecuador would be ok.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 14 Apr 2020
      Replying to @WhatIsPrivate1 @cjane87 @benshapiro

      Ecuador is the counter-example. Again, I don't think heat is a magic bullet, but the general pattern is hard to explain as "every country below the 35th parallel has a great testing regime."

      10:13 AM - 14 Apr 2020
      • 6 Retweets
      • 56 Likes
      • The Joey Liverwurst Experience™ Den Zzar Nathan Pruzaniec EZ Rider🦁 Chenery 2 Alex Scrimpshire Ryan Madry Edward Houstman Uncle Demonic
      8 replies 6 retweets 56 likes
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        2. Some Guy‏ @WhatIsPrivate1 14 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank @cjane87 @benshapiro

          My best guess is that it will be nearly as contagious, but viral loads will be lower and therefore lower fatalities.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Dimitris T Antonatos‏ @tejadaantonatos 14 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank @benshapiro and

          Costa Rica, Panama, Chile, Uruguay all have low mortality rates. Places Like Argentina, Ecuador & Brazil are a different story.

          9 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Agnom‏ @Agnom_K 14 Apr 2020
          Replying to @tejadaantonatos @baseballcrank and

          I have no idea how things are going on Argentina. However, Brazil (I live here) has a mess and it doesn't have anything to do with the chinese virus. This will be long, so yeah, get ready for it. Testing has been a mess. Testing by the government takes up to 7 days... 1/X

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Christopher Reynolds‏ @Chris_USA_1978 14 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank @benshapiro and

          From what I've seen, University of Utah is one of the primary places to look for research on this issue...https://attheu.utah.edu/facultystaff/covid-19-physics/ …

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Partisan Collider‏ @Particleghost1 14 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank @benshapiro and

          Do you think it could be related to the frequency of international business flights and the probablity of interacting with the infected? No?

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 14 Apr 2020
          Replying to @Particleghost1 @benshapiro and

          There's a bunch of variables. Here in NY, for example, we have unusually high population density & extraordinarily high use of mass transit for long, crowded rides.

          8 replies 13 retweets 86 likes
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        2. EJ‏ @Ejmiller25 14 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank @WhatIsPrivate1 and

          And Ecuador isn’t hot. It’s mild to cold and dry.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 14 Apr 2020
          Replying to @Ejmiller25 @WhatIsPrivate1 and

          I confess I'm not that familiar with Ecuadorian weather, but a Google search suggests that March-April temps tend to be in the 60s.

          2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Solon‏ @solonx1 14 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank @benshapiro and

          Seems to indicate drier heat is better for killing it off, which makes sense. (Fits with CA = fine, New Orleans = bad, Fla = mediumy)

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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