There is a more-than-decent shot that everybody ends up pursuing the Swedish option, and the only question is whether it was worth locking down until spring/summer to give health facilities and scientists time, and the virus a chance to die in warmer weather.
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Have you considered that countries in the Southern Hemisphere may have implemented more effecting mitigation regimes? Because, you know, we have.
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NZ and Australia, absolutely.
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"In coastal Ecuador, patients are dying at home after being turned away from overwhelmed hospitals, and the country’s president has said official statistics undercount the actual caseload." - From the WSJ article. If temperature significantly impacted C19, Ecuador would be ok.
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Ecuador is the counter-example. Again, I don't think heat is a magic bullet, but the general pattern is hard to explain as "every country below the 35th parallel has a great testing regime."
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Also factor in that most places don't heat up like we do, and then when it cools off again, it's right back here again through travel. Makes you wonder how long this goes on.
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Italy proved just the opposite because they failed to test and to take appropriate action. South Korea however proves both testing and the required action. We decided to go our own way - oops - maybe should have looked at a different example.
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That's not my point. It's that when things get as bad as they are in Italy, you don't need a testing regime to tell you things are bad.
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Italy is a terrible point of comparison. They led the world in flu deaths per capita the last two years as well.
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